Discounted Cashflow Model(DCF)

     

  • This method enables the user to define absolute value of the company
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  • It is the process of SUM of FUTURE CASHFLOWS, which is discounted at a particular rate
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    Valuation Methods

     

     

     

    Free Cashflow method we can classify in two types

     

  • FCFF: Free Cashflow to Firm
  • FCFE: Free Cashflow to Equity
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    What is FREE CASHFLOW?

     

  • Free CashFlow doesn't mean as NET INCOME
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  • It represents to CASH available for distribution to:
    • Creditors
    • Share holders

     

    Discounted Cashflow Method

     

  • Through this method we can evaluate the Investment Projects
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  • It is one of the method of valuation, which is very useful to value a company
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  • All the Futured\Expected cash inflows are discounted with particular rate
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  • In other words PROJECTING future cash flows and discount to PRESENT VALUES
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    Steps to Follow:

     

  • Calcuate Free Cashflow
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  • Calculate the Discount Rate
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  • 1)Project future CASH FLOW based on assumptions
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  • 2)Calculate Discount Rate through WACC method
  • Cost of Equity

     

    Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Equity Risk Premium

     

    Discount Rate:

     

    We can retrieve discount rate through two methods:

     

  • Weighted Average Cost of Capital
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    Steps to follow to conclude DCF Value:

     

  • The weighted average cost of capital
  • Free Cashflows
  • Terminal Value
  • Enterprise Value
  • Equity Value
  • Points to Remember

  • DCF Analysis entirely depended on PROJECTED NUMBERS
  • Free Cash Flow:

  • It is nothing but amount not required to operations of the company
  • Company can pay that amount in form of dividends to investors (or) Reinvest into business
  • It entirely depends on company's discretion
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    Example: Valuation of Firm and Equity through DCF ANALYSIS:

     

  • FCFF: Free Cashflow to Firm
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  • FCFE: Free Cashflow to Equity
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    Calcualtion Procedure between FCFF & FCFE:

     

     

  • While calculating terminal value consider last projecting value., assuming company attains same level of profit through out the life
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  • Firm value vary from one analyst to another as they are approching different assumptions
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    Why we need to discount future Cashflows?

     

    Step1:

  • Determine Forecasting periods for projections and REVENUE growth
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    Step2:

  • Deduct the all the Cash Expendses
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    Projection of OPERATING COSTS:

     

  • It should be projected based on HISTORIC OPERATING COST MARGINS
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    Taxes:

  • Consider based on latest applicable rates only
  • Working Cap:

     

  • High Working Cap results Low cash flows
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  • Forecast the working Capital based on growth in Sales
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  • Working Capital having proportional relationship with Sales
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    Calculating Net Present Value of Future Cashflows

  • Identify the Discount Rate through WACC:
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